Shively, Kentucky 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Shively KY
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Shively KY
Issued by: National Weather Service Louisville, KY |
Updated: 4:12 pm EDT May 6, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Increasing Clouds
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Wednesday
 Patchy Fog then Partly Sunny
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Wednesday Night
 Mostly Cloudy
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Thursday
 Scattered T-storms
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Thursday Night
 Scattered T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Friday
 Mostly Sunny
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Friday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Saturday
 Mostly Sunny
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Saturday Night
 Partly Cloudy
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Lo 51 °F |
Hi 76 °F |
Lo 56 °F |
Hi 75 °F |
Lo 48 °F |
Hi 70 °F |
Lo 48 °F |
Hi 73 °F |
Lo 53 °F |
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Tonight
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Increasing clouds, with a low around 51. Light southwest wind. |
Wednesday
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Patchy fog between 7am and 8am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 76. Calm wind. |
Wednesday Night
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Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56. Calm wind. |
Thursday
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Isolated showers, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 11am. Partly sunny, with a high near 75. Calm wind becoming northeast around 6 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Thursday Night
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Northeast wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Friday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 70. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. |
Saturday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. |
Saturday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. |
Sunday
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Isolated showers after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 20%. |
Sunday Night
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Isolated showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57. Chance of precipitation is 10%. |
Monday
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Scattered showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 40%. |
Monday Night
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Tuesday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Shively KY.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
539
FXUS63 KLMK 061920
AFDLMK
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Louisville KY
320 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025
.KEY MESSAGES...
* Mostly dry weather for tomorrow, with a slight chance for isolated
showers mainly for south-central Kentucky.
* Cold front will bring another chance of showers and embedded
thunderstorms on Thursday.
* Warmer and drier weather possible for the weekend.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025
The upper level low has shifted to the northeast of the area today,
resulting in drier weather and sunshine. A diurnal cu field is over
the lower Ohio Valley today, with temps mostly in the upper 60s. The
cu field will diminish as the sun lowers in the horizon this evening.
For tonight and into tomorrow, the omega block pattern will
continue, with narrow upper ridging overhead. A weak shortwave
rotating around the parent southwestern US upper low will ride up
into the region, which will introduce increasing high level cloud
cover overnight. A mid-level vort wing will pivot across the TN/OH
Valley, which will support a low-end chance for some isolated to
scattered showers for tomorrow. Precip is expected to be light, with
model soundings suggesting a notable low level dry layer that could
prevent some precip from making it to the sfc. Will still carry a 20-
30% chance mainly for south-central KY throughout the day. An
isolated rumble of thunder may be possible, but chances are even
lower.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 320 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025
===== Wednesday Night - Thursday Night =====
By Wednesday night and into Thursday, the southwestern upper closed
low will open into an elongated and positively-tilted upper trough.
This will be the primary driver for a weak sfc low to dive
southeastward through the Ohio Valley, with an associated cold front
sweeping through from north to south across the area on Thursday.
Ahead of the front, moisture transport will not be strong, so sfc
dewpoints are forecast to remain in the 50s. While some isolated
showers will be possible ahead of the front, the best rain chances
will arrive with the front pushing through in the afternoon. This
will coincide with the best timing for destabilization, which given
sfc temps warming into the mid-70s, we could end up with a few
hundred J/kg of SBCAPE. The 100-member grand ensemble LREF has a
mean output of 500 J/kg across the area Thursday afternoon, though
deterministic model soundings suggest upwards to 1000 J/kg. Precip
coverage will increase to be at least scattered across the area for
Thursday afternoon, with showers and thunderstorms possible. With
weak and disorganized low level flow, wind shear will be weak and
supportive for non-severe thunderstorms. PWATs will not be
impressively high with this system, with up to 1.1" expected. This
would be just above the daily mean of 0.9". QPF has increased
slightly since yesterday, but still expect most of the area to
receive less than a quarter of an inch of rain.
The front will slide through the region by Thursday night, leading
to a drop in sfc dewpoints by Friday morning. Drier weather is
expected after 00z Friday (Thursday evening) and into the overnight.
Temperatures for Thursday night will range from north to south, but
could be tricky as they depend on the timing of the front.
===== Friday - Monday =====
The upper trough will deepen into a close low over Ohio/Pennsylvania
on Friday, with general troughing remaining over the region. While
the mid-level forcing will swing south of the area, a low chance for
an isolated shower may be possible along the KY/TN state line.
Otherwise, expect dry conditions and increasing sunshine for Friday.
Temps will be slightly cooler thanks to NW flow, with highs in the
upper 60s and low 70s. This will be a few degrees below normal for
this time of year.
Temperatures do gradually warm up through the weekend, with temps on
Saturday in the mid-70s, and Sunday in the upper-70s and near 80.
This will be in response to broad sfc high pressure setting up over
the Midwest. The Euro and GFS have good agreement on upper level
evolution into the weekend, with both suggesting an upper low to
spin off of the upper elongated trough and sit over the lower
Mississippi River Valley. This would keep better moisture and
forcing to our south, and a drier forecast for most of the area for
the weekend. Some mid-level vort lobes could swing up into the
Tennessee Valley, which could support some low ran chances, but
confidence remains low for now.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 121 PM EDT Tue May 6 2025
VFR conditions are across the region this afternoon, with SCT cu
field blossoming overhead. Favorable flight conditions will continue
tonight and tomorrow, with no impacts expected. BWG will see mid-
level cigs increase tomorrow morning as an isolated rain chance will
be possible, but coverage is not enough to include precip mention at
this time. All other terminals are expected to remain dry.
&&
.LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...None.
IN...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...CJP
LONG TERM...CJP
AVIATION...CJP
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